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January 2011

Nominal vs Real 3-Month Interest Rate: 1934-2010

by Catherine Mulbrandon on January 17, 2011

in VE Infographics

An update of my Nominal vs Real 3-Month Interest Rate graph through 2010.

Data for 3-Month Treasury Bill: Secondary Market Rate (TB3MS) and CPI-U (CPIAUCNS) from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Recessions dates can be found at NBER

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Another version of my stock graph. Instead of the nominal price index from yesterday’s post, I am comparing real price index to the real total return (price change with dividends reinvested) since 1871. Both series are adjusted for inflation.

Annualized growth rate of since 1871:
Real total return with dividends reinvested = 6.2%
Real stock price return = 1.9%

You can find data at IrrationalExuberance.comMeasuringWorth.com

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I modified my original US stock prices graph to compare the growth rate of real growth (adjusted for inflation) in S&P Composite  Index with the nominal price growth.

Annualized growth rate of since 1871:
Nominal stock price return= 4.0%
Real stock price return = 1.9%

You can find data at IrrationalExuberance.com

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