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Financial markets

Effect of Dividends Reinvested on US Stock Returns since 1871

Another version of my stock graph. Instead of the nominal price index from yesterday's post, I am comparing real price index to the real total return (price change with dividends reinvested) since 1871. Both series are adjusted for inflation. Annualized growth rate of since 1871: Real total return with dividends reinvested = 6.2%  Real stock price return = 1.9%

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Effect of Inflation on S&P Price Return (1871-2010)

I modified my original US stock prices graph to compare the growth rate of real growth (adjusted for inflation) in S&P Composite  Index with the nominal price growth. Annualized growth rate of since 1871: Nominal stock price return= 4.0% Real stock price return = 1.9%

RealNominal_Stock_Growth_Log1-1024x696.png

You can find data at IrrationalExuberance.com

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US stock growth during "Roaring 20s" similar growth in 1990s

Another stock graph similar to Exponential Growth Rate of US Stocks since 1871 except this one is plotted on a semi-log scale to help illustrate the price movement of S&P Composite Index. For example, the percent change in the index's value during the 1990s "Internet Stock Bubble" (a little over  250%) was similar to the price change during the 10-years preceding the 1929 Stock Market Crash.

You can find the data at IrrationalExuberance.com


Real Word Examples of Exponential Growth
Sale Price:$2.25 Original Price:$4.50

Six real word examples of exponential growth in a Powerpoint slide show (3.7 MB) that includes 11 graphs of economic and financial data (linear and log scale). Data is from MeasuringWorth.orgYahoo Finance, and Irrational Exuberance. Links to the data sets are included in the file. Images can be printed (B&W or color) for handouts.

  • Real US GDP 1790-2012 (Linear & Log Graphs)
  • Real US Stock Prices 1871-2012 (Linear & Log Graphs)
  • General Electric Stock Price 1962-2013  (Linear & Log Graphs)
  • US Population 1790-2012 (Linear & Log Graphs)
  • Inflation Index 1774-2012 (Linear & Log Graphs) 
  • US GDP & Population 1790-2012 (Log Graph)

These graphs illustrate historical data series with constant growth rates and data series with changing growth rates over time. In addition, there is a example of adding/subtracting growth rates in log graph using US GDP, US Population & US GDP per person. 

*** A few of people have had difficulty downloading in Firefox, if the download link does not work, try to copying the link into another browser. ***

Add To Cart
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Exponential Growth Rate of US Stocks since 1871

My next  post plots same stock data using a log scale. Take a look here

This is the first of a series of visualizations based on the stock market data used in Irrational Exuberance. Written by Rober Shiller, this book explores the reasons why bubbles form in stock markets and housing markets. You can find his data at IrrationalExuberance.com

Addendum: Oct 28,2010 updated the graph to fix a couple of labels and clarify use of monthly annual data


Real Word Examples of Exponential Growth
Sale Price:$2.25 Original Price:$4.50

Six real word examples of exponential growth in a Powerpoint slide show (3.7 MB) that includes 11 graphs of economic and financial data (linear and log scale). Data is from MeasuringWorth.orgYahoo Finance, and Irrational Exuberance. Links to the data sets are included in the file. Images can be printed (B&W or color) for handouts.

  • Real US GDP 1790-2012 (Linear & Log Graphs)
  • Real US Stock Prices 1871-2012 (Linear & Log Graphs)
  • General Electric Stock Price 1962-2013  (Linear & Log Graphs)
  • US Population 1790-2012 (Linear & Log Graphs)
  • Inflation Index 1774-2012 (Linear & Log Graphs) 
  • US GDP & Population 1790-2012 (Log Graph)

These graphs illustrate historical data series with constant growth rates and data series with changing growth rates over time. In addition, there is a example of adding/subtracting growth rates in log graph using US GDP, US Population & US GDP per person. 

*** A few of people have had difficulty downloading in Firefox, if the download link does not work, try to copying the link into another browser. ***

Add To Cart
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Difference between US 3-Month T-bills vs Fed Funds: 1956-2008

Interest Rates and Fed Funds

I plotted the historical spread between Effective Fed Funds rate and US 3-Month T-bills back to 1956 using the weekly average. This a companion graph to Anatomy of a Financial Crisis: September 2008 

Data from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

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